Factors influencing future scenario planning for sports organizations offering tennis-training programs
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v76.110672Keywords:
Future, MACTOR , MIC MAC, post-COVID-19, sports organizationsAbstract
Introduction: In the post-COVID-19 context, sports organizations must anticipate economic and social changes by developing capacities to identify future trends. Future scenario planning emerges as a strategic tool to support sustainability and decision making.
Objective: To identify the key variables and stakeholders influencing future scenario planning in sports organizations offering tennis training programs, to support strategic decision making in a post-COVID-19 environment.
Methodology: A strategic prospective approach was applied using MICMAC and MACTOR methods, supported by retrospective analysis. The Antioquia Tennis League (Colombia) served as the case study, with analyses conducted by a prospective working group.
Results: Sixteen key variables and twelve influential stakeholders were identified. Variables related to professional development and support staff had the greatest impact, highlighting the need for employee support strategies focused on stress management and burnout reduction.
Discussion: The findings align with previous studies emphasizing human resource management, adaptability, and organizational resilience as critical factors in sports organizations under uncertainty.
Conclusions: Flexibility and adaptability strengthen internal relationships and staff performance, contributing to more effective future planning and organizational decision making.
References
Bischoff, L., López Manuel, L., & Vázquez Vicente, X. H. (2025). Beyond one‐size‐fits‐all: understanding the impacts of heterogeneous stakeholders on firm performance. Strategic Change, 34(1), 23-41. https://doi.org/10.1002/jsc.2612
Brouwers, J., Sotiriadou, P., & De Bosscher, V. (2015). Sport-specific policies and factors that influence international success: The case of tennis. Sport Management Review, 18(3), 343-358. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.smr.2014.10.003
Cely, A. (1999). Metodología de los Escenarios para Estudios Prospectivos. Revista Ingeniería e Investi-gación, 1(44), 26–35. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=4902902
Chun, Y., Sagas, M., & Wendling, E. (2022). The Intervening Effects of Perceived Organizational Support on COVID-19 Pandemic Stress, Job Burnout and Occupational Turnover Intentions of Collegiate Sport Athlete-Facing Professionals. Sustainability, 14(11), 6807. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116807
Cossich, V. R., Carlgren, D., Holash, R. J., & Katz, L. (2023). Technological Breakthroughs in Sport: Cur-rent Practice and Future Potential of Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Reality, Augmented Reality, and Modern Data Visualization in Performance Analysis. Applied Sciences, 13(23), 12965. https://doi.org/10.3390/app132312965
Crespo, M., Botella-Carrubi, D., & Jabaloyes, J. (2022). Innovation programs of the Royal Spanish Tennis Federation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 175, 121339. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121339
Dadhich, M., Gyamfi, B. A., Bekun, F. V., Prusty, S., & Asongu, S. A. (2025). Why management papers face rejection? An advanced guide to publish manuscripts in high-impact management journals. Quality & Quantity, 59, 5351–5376. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-025-02221-8
Daniels, Z. (2025). Conclusion and future directions. In Transforming the experiential classroom: Inno-vative teaching for engaged learning (pp. 245–255). Springer Nature Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-88165-7_11
Dmytriyev, S. D., Freeman, R. E., & Hörisch, J. (2021). The relationship between stakeholder theory and corporate social responsibility: Differences, similarities, and implications for social issues in management. Journal of Management Studies, 58(6), 1441–1470. https://doi.org/10.1111/joms.12684
Drewes, M., Daumann, F., & Follert, F. (2021). Exploring the sports economic impact of COVID-19 on professional soccer. Soccer & Society, 22(1–2), 125–137. https://doi.org/10.1080/14660970.2020.1802256
Escamilla, P., Núñez, J. M., Calabuig, F., & Gómez, A. M. (2020). Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on sports entrepreneurship. Sustainability (Switzerland), 12(20), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12208493
Freeman, R. E., Dmytriyev, S. D., & Phillips, R. A. (2021). Stakeholder theory and the resource-based view of the firm. Journal of Management, 47(7), 1757–1770. https://doi.org/10.1177/0149206321993576
García-Mayor, J., Pérez-Ordás, R., Almonacid-Fierro, A., & Reigal, R. E. (2024). Analysis of satisfaction and perceived quality in tennis training programs. Retos, 69, 442–451. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v69.112769
Garza, J., & Cortez, D. (2011). El uso del metodo MICMAC y MACTOR analisis prospectivo en un area operativa para la busqueda de la excelencia operativa a traves del Lean Manufacturing. Innova-ciones de Negocios, 8(16), 335–356. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=9551945
Glebova, E., Zare, F., Desbordes, M., & Géczi, G. (2022). COVID-19 sport transformation: new challenges and new opportunities. Physical Culture and Sport. Studies and Research, 95(1), 54-67. https://doi.org/10.2478/pcssr-2022-0011
Godet, M. (1990). El método MACTOR. Revista de La Fundación Para Estudios de La Defensa Nacional. Número de Junio.
Godet, M. (1997). Manuel de Prospective Stratégique (Dunod).
Godet, M. (2000). La caja de herramientas de la prospectiva estratégica (Prospektik.
González, R. (2020). Nota técnica 6. Deporte, bienestar y la pandemia del covid-19.
Grix, J., Brannagan, P. M., Grimes, H., & Neville, R. (2021). The impact of Covid-19 on sport. International Journal of Sport Policy and Politics, 13(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1080/19406940.2020.1851285
Haghparast, M., Soltan Hoseini, M., & Nasr Esfahani, D. (2025). Foresight in Sports Businesses: Exploring Emerging Scenarios Based on AI-Language Models and Financial Management Strategies. Sports Business Journal. https://doi.org/10.22051/sbj.2025.48676.1189
Hakim, H., Sahabuddin, S., & Bismar, A. R. (2025). The Role of Sports Facility Management in Supporting Competitive Tennis Player Development. Indonesian Journal of Sport Management, 5(2), 290-306. https://doi.org/10.31949/ijsm.v5i2.13955
Hongyu, L., & Enfeng, J. (2023). An Analytical Model of Table Tennis Campus Sports Competition Trends in the Context of Sports Education Integration. Revista de Psicología del Deporte (Jour-nal of Sport Psychology), 32(3), 61-70. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=9114128&info=resumen
Lagoudaki, G., Tsitskari, E., Vernadakis, N., Yfantidou, G., & Tzetzis, G. (2025). Evaluating the Impact of a Corporate Social Responsibility Program on Member Trust and Loyalty in a Tennis Club: A Pre-and Post-Intervention Study. Systems, 13(5), 321. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13050321
López, H.; Macías, J.; García, V.; Henao, L. (2024). Challenges and Scenarios for Organizations Offering Tennis Training Programs. Journal of Future Studies, 28(3). https://jfsdigital.org/challenges-and-scenarios-for-organizations-offering-tennis-training-programs/
Malik, F., Abrar, A., & Hina, M. (2025). Entrepreneurial learning behaviours within the social context: an exploratory study of technology startups in Pakistan. Journal of Entrepreneurship in Emerging Economies. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEEE-06-2024-0206
McGuine, T. A., Biese, K. M., Petrovska, L., Hetzel, S. J., Reardon, C., Kliethermes, S., & Watson, A. M. (2021). Mental health, physical activity, and quality of life of US adolescent athletes during COVID-19–related school closures and sport cancellations: a study of 13 000 athletes. Journal of Athletic Training, 56(1), 11–19. https://doi.org/10.4085/1062-6050-0478.20
Moradi, E., & Norouzi Seyed Hossini, R. (2025). Sport tourism and destination attractiveness: bridging gaps in research for emerging economies. Tourism Recreation Research, 1-30. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508281.2025.2472315
Morrison, K. A., & Misener, K. E. (2021). Exploring the conditions for strategic planning in nonprofit community sport. Sport Management Review, 24(5), 747-769. https://doi.org/10.1080/14413523.2021.1906054
Murray, A., Pluim, B., Robinson, P. G., Mountjoy, M. L., Falvey, É. C., Budgett, R., Massey, A., & Cox, C. (2022). The journey so far: professional sport during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMJ Open Sport & Exercise Medicine, 8(2), 1362. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjsem-2022-001362
Nurfadhila, R., Alim, A., Nugroho, W., & Mohammad, R. (2026). Exploration of the role of technology in tennis assessment: A literature review. Retos, 75, 38–49. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v75.117588
Osorio-Moreno, L. A., Espinel de Segura, B. I., & Rivera-Rodríguez, H. A. (2018). How to cope the busi-ness turbulence: Prospective study of the Mamonal Port in the City of Cartagena (Colombia). Espacios, 39(24).
Padgett, R. N., Bradshaw, M., Chen, Y., Cowden, R. G., Jang, S. J., Kim, E. S., ... & VanderWeele, T. J. (2025). Analytic methodology for demographic variation analyses for wave 1 of the Global Flourishing Study. BMC global and public health, 3(1), 28.
Pomorska, K., & Thomas, D. C. (2025). The protean power of Europe: Innovation and transformation in the face of radical uncertainty. Comparative European Politics, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-025-00431-w
Qi, Y., Sajadi, S. M., Baghaei, S., Rezaei, R., & Li, W. (2024). Digital technologies in sports: Opportunities, challenges, and strategies for safeguarding athlete wellbeing and competitive integrity in the digital era. Technology in Society, 102496. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2024.102496
Sekulic, D., Blazevic, M., Gilic, B., Kvesic, I., & Zenic, N. (2020). Prospective analysis of levels and corre-lates of physical activity during COVID-19 pandemic and imposed rules of social distancing; gender specific study among adolescents from Southern Croatia. Sustainability, 12(10), 4072. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12104072
Sindakis, S., Showkat, S., & Showkat, G. (2025). Enhancing resilience and embracing antifragility: the role of innovation in collaborative networks. European Journal of Innovation Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/EJIM-12-2023-1129
Tachkova, E. R., & Brannon, G. E. (2025). Psychological resilience and crisis READINESS: connecting employee well-being and internal crisis communication. Journal of Communication Manage-ment. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCOM-12-2024-0267
Tao, H., & Yu, F. (2025). The impact of psychological needs, social support, and sport motivation on college students’ sport commitment and sports participation. BMC psychology, 13(1), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40359-025-03173-2
Trendafilova, S., Pelcher, J., Graham, J., & Ziakas, V. (2021). The ebbs and flows of green waves: envi-ronmental sustainability in Grand Slam tennis. Sport, Business and Management: An Interna-tional Journal, 11(3), 302-320. https://doi.org/10.1108/SBM-09-2020-0090
Vanoye, J. A. R., Díaz-Parra, O., Fuentes-Penna, A., & Barrera-Cámara, R. A. (2025). Enhancing Perfor-mance and Well-being in the Sports Industry through Smart Sport Psychology. International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics, 16(2), 1. https://doi.org/10.61467/2007.1558.2025.v16i2.1059
Yang, J., Zhang, X., & Pei, Y. (2025). Digital transformation of the business models of Chinese sporting goods enterprises in the post-COVID-19 era: a knowledge-management perspective. Journal of Knowledge Management, 29(3), 723-734. https://doi.org/10.1108/JKM-12-2022-0946
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Jackeline Andrea Macías Urrego, Harlyn Darío López Torres, Vanessa García-Pineda, Laura Cristina Henao Colorado, Alejandro Valencia-Arias
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and ensure the magazine the right to be the first publication of the work as licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of authorship of the work and the initial publication in this magazine.
- Authors can establish separate additional agreements for non-exclusive distribution of the version of the work published in the journal (eg, to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Is allowed and authors are encouraged to disseminate their work electronically (eg, in institutional repositories or on their own website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as to a subpoena more Early and more of published work (See The Effect of Open Access) (in English).
This journal provides immediate open access to its content (BOAI, http://legacy.earlham.edu/~peters/fos/boaifaq.htm#openaccess) on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge. The authors may download the papers from the journal website, or will be provided with the PDF version of the article via e-mail.
